Parachuting Burnham into London seat may be Labour's last chance after Starmer election crushing by Reform and Greens

Commentary: After ‘historic’ wins by Farage’s Reform UK, the Greater Manchester Mayor’s only safe route back to Parliament may be through the capital
Nicholas Cecil, Chief Reporter @nicholascecil
8 May 2026

Things only got worse for Labour.

Early hopes among party activists that the May 7 election results might not be catastrophic died as the election results rolled in.

By 7.30pm on Friday and with 110 out of 136 councils declared, Reform had gained more than 1,200 seats, winning Sunderland, Essex and Havering councils.

The extent of Reform’s victories was striking, including in Wigan, Hartlepool, Tameside, Dudley, Southampton, Plymouth and Redditch.

<p>ROMFORD, ENGLAND - MAY 08: Reform UK leader Nigel Farage poses with winning councillors outside Havering Town Hall following the 2026 local election results on May 08, 2026 in Romford, England. Voters went to the polls yesterday in the local elections across England. Results counted overnight show widespread losses for the Labour Party. Several key Labour councils have surrendered their majority as Reform UK and the Liberal Democrats make significant gains. (Photo by Dan Kitwood/Getty Images)</p>
Nigel Farage poses with winning councillors outside Havering Town Hall
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At the same time, the Greens stormed into the capital, winning in Hackney, Lewisham and Waltham Forest.

As disastrous result after disastrous result was declared for Labour, the calls for Sir Keir Starmer to go grew.

The roll-call of Labour defeats was in fact so bad that Andy Burnham’s hopes of finding a safe seat in the North West for another by-election bid to return to Parliament appeared to be going up in smoke.

Only in London was Reform not rampaging through previous Labour strongholds.

It gained its first council in the capital, Havering, from the local residents’ group, but failed to win Bexley or Bromley when up against the Tories, or Barking and Dagenham from Labour.

Sir Keir Starmer and Andy Burnham (Ian Vogler/Daily Mirror)
Sir Keir Starmer and Andy Burnham
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So Operation "King of the North”, if it happens, might have to see a London MP stepping aside, and most probably going to the Lords, to allow the Greater Manchester Mayor a safe shot at a Commons comeback.

How Mr Burnham would square this with Manchester voters is yet to be seen.

But Left-leaning voters in the capital who voted for the Greens may well return to Labour to stop Nigel Farage gaining the keys to No10.

Mr Burnham, unlike former Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner and Health Secretary Wes Streeting, could find it easier to appeal to both Labour wings and unite the party as it seeks to claw its way out of the electoral abyss.

Veteran Left-wing MP John McDonnell, who represents Hayes and Harlington, was urging the party to avoid a civil war, in the hope that Sir Keir may decide to step down in a bloodless transition.

Angela Rayner with Wes Streeting (Jonathan Brady/PA)
Angela Rayner with Wes Streeting who are both expected to challenge for the Labour leadership if Sir Keir Starmer is ousted
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In London, Labour nearly won Wandsworth which could have offered the embattled party a crumb of comfort but it lost a key ward by just 15 votes.

Labour gained 28 councillors to the Tories 29, with one independent.

A short distance from Clapham Junction, in the St Mary’s ward, Conservative Zarah Wiles was elected with 1,681 votes, beating Labour’s Simon Grayson, on 1,666.

Just like in professional sport, the margins between jubilant victory or crushing defeat can be extremely small under the winner-takes-all, first-past-the-post electoral system.

There are simply no prizes for coming second.

Holding Westminster or Wandsworth would have meant Sir Keir could have pointed to a rare beacon of success in a sea of disastrous results as Mr Farage’s Reform UK stormed to victories across England’s regions.

Sir Keir Starmer said he took responsibility for the loss of hundreds of Labour councillors in early election results
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Mr Farage said the results showed a “truly historic shift in British politics”, away from the old era of Labour and Conservative domination, and suggested Reform was on course for a general election victory.

The success of the Greens was a slower burn as the councils where they hoped to make the biggest gains declared on Friday afternoon.

Their London breakthrough came first by Zoe Garbett being elected Mayor of Hackney, then Liam Shrivastava winning the mayoral contest in Lewisham, followed by the party gaining its first council ever in the capital, Waltham Forest.

The Greens won more councillors in a string of London boroughs and were up 374 nationwide.

Zack Polanski, Leader of the Green Party, congratulates Zoë Garbett as she is elected as the new Mayor for Hackney
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Explaining the results, leading polling expert Professor Sir John Curtice, pointed back a decade to the 2016 Brexit referendum, when London voted by 60% to Remain in the EU.

“Places where more than 60% of people voted for Brexit, Reform on average are running at 40%,” he told BBC radio.

“In places where fewer than 40% voted for Brexit, Reform were averaging just 10%.

“In the case of the Greens, the pattern is exactly the opposite.”

The Tories held onto the Croydon mayoralty but lost Essex County Council to Reform and were down 472 councillors across England.

The Liberal Democrats were up 91 seats across the country but failed to win their target borough of Merton, south-west London, from Labour.

<p>Conservative Party Leader Kemi Badenoch as her party gained more seats than Labour in Westminster and Wandsworth</p>
Conservative Party Leader Kemi Badenoch as her party gained more seats than Labour in Westminster and Wandsworth
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Away from London, Sir Keir was hit by further heavy losses in the contests for the Scottish Parliament and Welsh Senedd.

Cabinet ministers rallied around him, with Deputy Prime Minister David Lammy, MP for Tottenham, urging his party not to play “pass the parcel” with the leadership.

But after such dire results for Labour the Prime Minister’s future was hanging in the balance.