Mr Warrell points out that there are no buildings visible in the paintings, which have always been thought to be scenes of the Venetian lagoons.
He then makes the vital observation that the crowds lining the water's edge are dressed in red uniform, indicating they are British soldiers and not Venetian pleasure-seekers.
"These English troops are clearly an anomaly in a Venetian subject but would not be so in one closer to home."
Mr Warrell then delivers his radical new theory: "A more appropriate identification of the pictures could, therefore, be the arrival of the French king, Louis-Philippe, at Portsmouth on 8 October 1844. One of Turner's own letters confirms that he was present.
"This is all a long way from the interpretation of these pictures as the wraith-like mists of Venice, with parties of revellers drifting to and from the city across the lagoon."