Officials were unsure of precisely where the eye of the storm will hit. Gustav was forecast to bring a storm surge of up to 14 feet, less than the 25 feet of Katrina, but enough to threaten the rebuilt flood defences around the city and the low-lying coastal areas of Louisiana and south-east Texas, from where thousands have also fled. Corey Walton, a hurricane support meteorologist with the National Hurricane Centre, said New Orleans was likely be on the "dirty" side of the storm - where rainfall is heaviest and tornadoes are possible. But if the city is east of where Gustav's eye crosses, the storm surge would be lower.