Tony Blair's itinerary is secret but it is believed to be taking him to Nigeria, Senegal, Ghana and possibly Sierra Leone. Mr Blair is right to be worried about Africa. From a moral perspective the fact that the continent has been hurtling backwards, by every measure of the human condition, for 30 years is partly the fault of the West. We should help to put it right. There is also a pragmatic case for healing Africa's wounds. If we don't, we're going to be swamped by refugees from misery on a scale so far unimagined.