The present Prime Minister, Ahmet Davutoglu, wrote a book to the effect that Ottoman soft power would make for a sort of Turkish Commonwealth, and he has been tireless in going around Muslim Africa (even Somalia) or Burma and the Pacific to promote that cause. Turkish Airlines flies all over the place, in this writer’s experience very efficiently.
This new self-assertion is reflected in matters great and small. Istanbul will have Europe’s largest airport, with a space-research institute attached; and in official buildings there are now hole-in-the-ground lavatories. From this, to lecturing the Syrians on their need for reform, of getting a government similar to Turkey’s, was a short step.
And so when President Assad would not accept the lessons, Turkey started supporting his enemies. He did warn at the outset that Syria was a powder keg and that its explosion would affect the entire Middle East, and right he has proved. The effects are now seen in Turkey, beset with nearly three million refugees and with car-bomb outrages even in the military quarter of the capital, Ankara. The troubles have now produced a Kurdish crypto-state, in Syria as well as in Iraq, and through the PKK it has Turkish links.
The ultimate irony in this over-ambitious Turkish foreign policy is that instead of creating an Ottoman Commonwealth it will end up with a Kurdistan. If only Mr Erdogan and Mr Davutoglu had played a longer game and respected the doctrine of Turkey’s founders: peace abroad, peace at home.
Norman Stone is a professor of international relations at Bilkent University in Ankara