Internal hotshot Alison Rose is clearly the front-runner, but she shouldn’t count her chickens. Had she been absolutely nailed-on, chairman Sir Howard Davies would have announced her succession today, alongside Ross McEwan’s early departure.
She is clearly the top internal candidate, having worked across the bank in her 20 years there. The lender and its biggest shareholder, the Government, would like a woman in the role.
But given RBS’s troubled history, it wouldn’t be entirely surprising if Davies decided to go for an external big hitter. He will at least be having a look.
The danger of that is a newcomer to the organisation will seek to shake it up with another major strategic review.
After the disruption RBS has been through in the last decade, that’s the last thing it needs.