The UK’s tax code is the longest in the world — the product of years of tinkering at the edges. Fiscal policy is most effective when it is consistent. The gradual reduction in the corporate tax rate over the last 20 years did not have the razzmatazz of Trump’s move but its impact on GDP growth is clear to see. In contrast, personal tax rates have yo-yoed.
There are two reasons for a rethink now. Technology means that traditional sources of tax will erode. How to extract £27 billion a year in fuel duty from drivers when petrol-powered cars have been replaced by electric? What about the lower employment taxes remitted because nearly five million workers have become part of the gig economy?
The biggest quandary is how to tax digital businesses whose activity is tricky to capture within borders. It is a subject the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the European Union will pronounce on shortly. The second reason is Brexit, after which the UK will have greater freedom around state aid incentives — as well as the chance to push up VAT rates.
PwC is promoting a debate about the best way to proceed, sketching out four reform scenarios. These are: making the UK a low-tax, low-regulation hub which does not sound far from where the present administration would like to be; a more expensive model that includes a universal basic income to encourage more career risk-taking; a “tech kingdom” where digital businesses are championed over all others — although some might say that Google and friends already are; and far more fiscal autonomy for the UK nations and regions.
Tax is never a popular topic, especially as the self-assessment deadline looms this Wednesday. But gathered and deployed fairly and transparently, it can act as a tremendous stimulus. In the global race, the most enlightened economy will reap the largest rewards.